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Posted 04.02.09 | 9:35 PM

Cut to the chase

Gauging Cutler’s immediate fantasy impact
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By Danny Nicklin
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While it's way too early to tell what Jay Cutler's impact will be in terms of wins and losses for the Chicago Bears, it's never too early to look at his influence in the realm of fantasy. I mean, it is called fantasy football.

Obviously, the draft may change things even more, but with 'Da Bears forking over their 1st and 3rd round picks this year (in addition to quarterback Kyle Orton and their 2010 1st round pick), it's pretty safe to project what their starting lineup will look like. So, here's a 'Pick Six' of players who could be influenced by Cutler blowing into the Windy City.

1. Jay Cutler

(Bears QB)
Ok, this isn't anything groundbreaking -- Cutler is a top-notch quarterback in terms of fantasy value, throwing for over 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns last year. He also lacked any sort of legitimate running game and the defense was so quick to give up points that Jay never lacked the chance to throw the ball around. In Chicago, he adds a running game, a respectable defense and a less than stellar set of wideouts.  All of that translates to less overall fantasy value. He'll still be top 10 QB though -- he's guaranteed to play the Lions twice a year after all.

2. Matt Forte

(Bears RB)
He made an instant impact as arookie last year, racking up over 1,200 yards on the ground and almost 500 yards receiving (12 total TD's). Towards the end of the year, defenses started shifting their focus to Forte, with declining productivity as the result. Having Cutler under center should be enough to make defensive coordinators think twice about putting eight in the box.

3. Brandon Marshall

(Broncos WR)
It'll be an interesting side story to see how Marshall reacts to having either Chris Simms or Kyle Orton (at this point) throwing him the ball. Remember, this is the same guy who was third in the league in receptions (104) and thought at times that Cutler wasn't giving him enough looks. I can't imagine Marshall reproducing his reception and yardage (1,265) totals of 2008.  He won't be bad, but you might want to reconsider him as your no doubt  #1 WR.

4. Chicago WRs

Who knows who'll end up as Cutler's favorite target, but he'll have fantasy value as soon as he reveals himself. It won't be a one of the top-rate receivers coming out of college (remember,
no 1st round pick), so someone, be it Hester, Davis or some other relatively obscure receiver, will have to step up. You'll have to pay attention during training camp to see if anyone has caught Cutler's eyes... and passes.

5. Eddie Royal

(Broncos WR)
See Marshall, Brandon.  Royal had an impressive rookie campaign, catching 91 passes for almost 1,000 yards. He should also see a decline in fantasy production without the rocket-armed Cutler looking his way.

6.The Denver QB

It's tough to tell who will be taking Mile-High snaps in 2009.  My hunch is that the Broncos will use their newfound draft wealth to move up and grab either Matthew Stafford or Mark Sanchez. They'll have Orton start in '09, Simms as primary back-up and their rookie holding a clipboard and studying up McDaniels' system. If this scenario holds up, Orton could actually improve his numbers (2,812 yards/18 TDs/ 12 INTs) with the previously mentioned dynamic duo split out.
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